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View Weekly PageAnswer: stagflation
Stagflation (stagnation + inflation) presents a nightmare scenario for policymakers. Traditional tools fail: raising interest rates to fight inflation will worsen unemployment and kill growth, while lowering rates to spur growth will exacerbate the already high inflation. It is typically triggered by severe negative supply shocks, such as the 1970s oil embargoes, which simultaneously drive up costs and crush industrial output.